Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 15?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 ปริมาณ
$63,387 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$63,387 ปริมาณ
$63,387 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
15°C or below
$2,925 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,385 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,204 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,071 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$9,954 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$9,312 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$7,834 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$6,803 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$9,453 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$3,234 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$3,212 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,387วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Official meteorological records from Warsaw confirmed a daily maximum temperature of exactly 20°C on May 15, anchoring the market's near-certain consensus on that threshold. Ground-station data from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, corroborated by regional models, showed stable spring conditions with no significant heat advection from warmer southern flows or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher. This value aligns closely with historical May averages of 18–22°C for the region, reflecting typical mid-spring variability without triggering anomalous warming. Minor forecast revisions or final data audits remain possible but are unlikely to shift the recorded maximum, leaving the dominant outcome firmly supported by verified observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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