Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 16?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 ปริมาณ
$68,699 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$68,699 ปริมาณ
$68,699 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
12°C or below
$8,080 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$15,774 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$7,643 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$11,737 ปริมาณ
Yes
16°C
$7,568 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,298 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,283 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,267 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,392 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,620 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$3,040 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,699วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,699วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official measurements from the Warsaw Chopin Airport weather station established a daily maximum of 15°C on May 16, anchoring trader consensus at near-certain levels for that outcome. Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models had earlier projected temperatures in the 13–15°C range under a stable high-pressure system with limited daytime heating and moderate northerly flow, consistent with historical May averages near 19°C but tempered by recent cool-air advection. The market treats the station’s verified reading—rather than broader regional estimates—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving little room for revision unless post-processing adjustments alter the recorded peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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