Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many jobs added in September?
How many jobs added in September?
50k to 100k 25%
0 to 50k 22%
100k to 150k 21%
-50k to 0 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 2, 2026
<-50k
10%
-50k to 0
11%
0 to 50k
22%
50k to 100k
25%
100k to 150k
21%
150k to 200k
5%
200k+
7%
50k to 100k 25%
0 to 50k 22%
100k to 150k 21%
-50k to 0 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 2, 2026
<-50k
$248 ปริมาณ
10%
-50k to 0
$337 ปริมาณ
11%
0 to 50k
$199 ปริมาณ
22%
50k to 100k
$159 ปริมาณ
25%
100k to 150k
$261 ปริมาณ
21%
150k to 200k
$260 ปริมาณ
5%
200k+
$459 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,923วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for September 2026, scheduled to be released on October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,923วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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