Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate and ally of term-limited President Gustavo Petro, captured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both to the June 21 runoff. Official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil aligned precisely with the dominant 40-45 percent market bucket, reflecting trader consensus on certified results rather than pre-election polling averages that had shown Cepeda narrowly ahead. The outcome consolidated left-leaning support around the “total peace” platform while right-wing and centrist votes fragmented, with Paloma Valencia finishing third below 7 percent. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any minor adjustments in the official count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?
40-45% 98.9%
<30% 1.0%
45-50% <1%
50-55% <1%
$29,838 ปริมาณ
$29,838 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
99%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
1%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.9%
<30% 1.0%
45-50% <1%
50-55% <1%
$29,838 ปริมาณ
$29,838 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<30%
$4,965 ปริมาณ
1%
30-35%
$1,948 ปริมาณ
1%
35-40%
$3,660 ปริมาณ
1%
40-45%
$8,672 ปริมาณ
99%
45-50%
$3,322 ปริมาณ
1%
50-55%
$3,038 ปริมาณ
1%
55%+
$4,233 ปริมาณ
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate and ally of term-limited President Gustavo Petro, captured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both to the June 21 runoff. Official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil aligned precisely with the dominant 40-45 percent market bucket, reflecting trader consensus on certified results rather than pre-election polling averages that had shown Cepeda narrowly ahead. The outcome consolidated left-leaning support around the “total peace” platform while right-wing and centrist votes fragmented, with Paloma Valencia finishing third below 7 percent. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any minor adjustments in the official count.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,838วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate and ally of term-limited President Gustavo Petro, captured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both to the June 21 runoff. Official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil aligned precisely with the dominant 40-45 percent market bucket, reflecting trader consensus on certified results rather than pre-election polling averages that had shown Cepeda narrowly ahead. The outcome consolidated left-leaning support around the “total peace” platform while right-wing and centrist votes fragmented, with Paloma Valencia finishing third below 7 percent. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any minor adjustments in the official count.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,838วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda, the Historic Pact candidate and ally of term-limited President Gustavo Petro, captured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026 presidential first round, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both to the June 21 runoff. Official preliminary tallies from the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil aligned precisely with the dominant 40-45 percent market bucket, reflecting trader consensus on certified results rather than pre-election polling averages that had shown Cepeda narrowly ahead. The outcome consolidated left-leaning support around the “total peace” platform while right-wing and centrist votes fragmented, with Paloma Valencia finishing third below 7 percent. Remaining uncertainty centers on final vote certification and any minor adjustments in the official count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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