Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30 reflects the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) bloc's shortfall of 16 votes in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, holding only 60 against the 76 needed for a two-thirds majority to advance the motion to the Constitutional Court. Initiated in December 2025 over disputes including the premier's refusal to countersign legislation, proceedings advanced past the initial majority threshold but face procedural hurdles; hearings continued May 14 with experts testifying ahead of the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote, which DPP lawmakers decry as symbolic. While defections, a major scandal, or procedural shifts remain theoretically possible before resolution, no such momentum has emerged, anchoring high confidence in rejection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$618,666 ปริมาณ
$618,666 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
$618,666 ปริมาณ
$618,666 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30 reflects the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) bloc's shortfall of 16 votes in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, holding only 60 against the 76 needed for a two-thirds majority to advance the motion to the Constitutional Court. Initiated in December 2025 over disputes including the premier's refusal to countersign legislation, proceedings advanced past the initial majority threshold but face procedural hurdles; hearings continued May 14 with experts testifying ahead of the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote, which DPP lawmakers decry as symbolic. While defections, a major scandal, or procedural shifts remain theoretically possible before resolution, no such momentum has emerged, anchoring high confidence in rejection.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
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$618,666วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30 reflects the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) bloc's shortfall of 16 votes in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, holding only 60 against the 76 needed for a two-thirds majority to advance the motion to the Constitutional Court. Initiated in December 2025 over disputes including the premier's refusal to countersign legislation, proceedings advanced past the initial majority threshold but face procedural hurdles; hearings continued May 14 with experts testifying ahead of the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote, which DPP lawmakers decry as symbolic. While defections, a major scandal, or procedural shifts remain theoretically possible before resolution, no such momentum has emerged, anchoring high confidence in rejection.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$618,666วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a near-certain "No" for President Lai Ching-te's impeachment by June 30 reflects the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP) bloc's shortfall of 16 votes in the 113-seat Legislative Yuan, holding only 60 against the 76 needed for a two-thirds majority to advance the motion to the Constitutional Court. Initiated in December 2025 over disputes including the premier's refusal to countersign legislation, proceedings advanced past the initial majority threshold but face procedural hurdles; hearings continued May 14 with experts testifying ahead of the scheduled May 19 roll-call vote, which DPP lawmakers decry as symbolic. While defections, a major scandal, or procedural shifts remain theoretically possible before resolution, no such momentum has emerged, anchoring high confidence in rejection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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