Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for London, where overnight lows often settle around 11–13°C absent unusual advection or frontal activity. The market's 96.5% implied probability on 12°C reflects this model consensus and limited upside for colder outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow, heavier cloud suppressing cooling, or localized urban heat island effects pushing the reading above 13°C at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 9?
Lowest temperature in London on September 9?
12°C 96%
11°C 2%
10°C 1.2%
7°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
96%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 96%
11°C 2%
10°C 1.2%
7°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 9, 2026
6°C or below
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$203 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$101 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$745 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$2,753 ปริมาณ
96%
13°C
$2,808 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$168 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C or higher
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for London, where overnight lows often settle around 11–13°C absent unusual advection or frontal activity. The market's 96.5% implied probability on 12°C reflects this model consensus and limited upside for colder outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow, heavier cloud suppressing cooling, or localized urban heat island effects pushing the reading above 13°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for London, where overnight lows often settle around 11–13°C absent unusual advection or frontal activity. The market's 96.5% implied probability on 12°C reflects this model consensus and limited upside for colder outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow, heavier cloud suppressing cooling, or localized urban heat island effects pushing the reading above 13°C at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,694วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and GFS ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 12°C overnight into September 9 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dew points supporting radiational cooling without significant cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical early-September climatology for London, where overnight lows often settle around 11–13°C absent unusual advection or frontal activity. The market's 96.5% implied probability on 12°C reflects this model consensus and limited upside for colder outcomes. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in northerly flow, heavier cloud suppressing cooling, or localized urban heat island effects pushing the reading above 13°C at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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