Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 ปริมาณ
$5,224 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
86%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 86%
78-79°F 5%
76-77°F 4.4%
74-75°F <1%
$5,224 ปริมาณ
$5,224 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
67°F or below
$375 ปริมาณ
<1%
68-69°F
$203 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$346 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$339 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$767 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$265 ปริมาณ
4%
78-79°F
$521 ปริมาณ
5%
80-81°F
$649 ปริมาณ
86%
82-83°F
$794 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$610 ปริมาณ
<1%
86°F or higher
$360 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,224วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,224วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign an 89% implied probability to an 80-81°F low in Miami on June 14 because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather and Timeanddate consistently project overnight minima in the upper 70s to low 80s amid typical early-summer conditions. High humidity, weak pressure gradients, and the urban heat island effect limit radiative cooling after daytime highs near 90°F, keeping temperatures elevated through the night. No cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged in recent model runs, aligning with climatological baselines where mid-June lows average near 77-78°F but often reach the low 80s under stable subtropical air. Upcoming evening observations and any last adjustments from the National Hurricane Center or local NWS offices represent the primary remaining variables before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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