**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the lowest temperature at Incheon station near 24 °C.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 24 °C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with 60 % precipitation probability, consistent with the 44.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity further suppress the typical nocturnal drop, while recent days’ similar pattern (minima near 24–25 °C) reinforces trader consensus around 23–24 °C, which together command over 77 % of the probability mass. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 23 °C, so current conditions align closely with the upper end of that range rather than cooler anomalies. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, and resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by KMA at the Incheon station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
24°C 45%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
33%
24°C
45%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 33%
25°C 16%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
19°C or below
$500 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$408 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$134 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$332 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$760 ปริมาณ
33%
24°C
$1,645 ปริมาณ
45%
25°C
$991 ปริมาณ
16%
26°C
$555 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$207 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the lowest temperature at Incheon station near 24 °C.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 24 °C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with 60 % precipitation probability, consistent with the 44.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity further suppress the typical nocturnal drop, while recent days’ similar pattern (minima near 24–25 °C) reinforces trader consensus around 23–24 °C, which together command over 77 % of the probability mass. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 23 °C, so current conditions align closely with the upper end of that range rather than cooler anomalies. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, and resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by KMA at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,843วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the lowest temperature at Incheon station near 24 °C.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 24 °C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with 60 % precipitation probability, consistent with the 44.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity further suppress the typical nocturnal drop, while recent days’ similar pattern (minima near 24–25 °C) reinforces trader consensus around 23–24 °C, which together command over 77 % of the probability mass. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 23 °C, so current conditions align closely with the upper end of that range rather than cooler anomalies. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, and resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by KMA at the Incheon station.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,843วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate easterly flow from the Yellow Sea are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited, positioning the lowest temperature at Incheon station near 24 °C.** Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum around 24 °C on August 16 under mostly cloudy skies with 60 % precipitation probability, consistent with the 44.5 % market-implied probability for that outcome. Sea-breeze moderation and high humidity further suppress the typical nocturnal drop, while recent days’ similar pattern (minima near 24–25 °C) reinforces trader consensus around 23–24 °C, which together command over 77 % of the probability mass. Historical August climatology for Incheon shows average lows near 23 °C, so current conditions align closely with the upper end of that range rather than cooler anomalies. No major model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, and resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum reported by KMA at the Incheon station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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