**Current short-range forecast models indicate an overnight low for Incheon on September 14 likely falling in the 17–21°C range, producing closely matched market-implied odds across multiple temperature bins.** This reflects genuine model spread and timing uncertainties rather than any single dominant outcome. Primary drivers include the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Korean Peninsula, light northwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater heat loss to space, potentially pushing the minimum toward 17–19°C, while increased humidity or lingering overcast conditions can limit cooling and support readings near 20–21°C. Incheon's coastal location adds maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea, reducing extremes compared to inland Seoul. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations; any shift in predicted wind speed, dew point, or frontal timing could quickly rebalance the 50% odds on the 19°C, 21°C, and adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 14?
14°C or below 82%
24°C or higher 82%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
82%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
15%
18°C
18%
19°C
27%
20°C
20%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
82%
14°C or below 82%
24°C or higher 82%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
19°C
$21 ปริมาณ
27%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate an overnight low for Incheon on September 14 likely falling in the 17–21°C range, producing closely matched market-implied odds across multiple temperature bins.**
This reflects genuine model spread and timing uncertainties rather than any single dominant outcome. Primary drivers include the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Korean Peninsula, light northwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater heat loss to space, potentially pushing the minimum toward 17–19°C, while increased humidity or lingering overcast conditions can limit cooling and support readings near 20–21°C.
Incheon's coastal location adds maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea, reducing extremes compared to inland Seoul. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations; any shift in predicted wind speed, dew point, or frontal timing could quickly rebalance the 50% odds on the 19°C, 21°C, and adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current short-range forecast models indicate an overnight low for Incheon on September 14 likely falling in the 17–21°C range, producing closely matched market-implied odds across multiple temperature bins.**
This reflects genuine model spread and timing uncertainties rather than any single dominant outcome. Primary drivers include the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Korean Peninsula, light northwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater heat loss to space, potentially pushing the minimum toward 17–19°C, while increased humidity or lingering overcast conditions can limit cooling and support readings near 20–21°C.
Incheon's coastal location adds maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea, reducing extremes compared to inland Seoul. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations; any shift in predicted wind speed, dew point, or frontal timing could quickly rebalance the 50% odds on the 19°C, 21°C, and adjacent bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current short-range forecast models indicate an overnight low for Incheon on September 14 likely falling in the 17–21°C range, producing closely matched market-implied odds across multiple temperature bins.** This reflects genuine model spread and timing uncertainties rather than any single dominant outcome. Primary drivers include the seasonal transition to cooler autumn air masses over the Korean Peninsula, light northwesterly winds, and variable cloud cover that modulates nocturnal radiative cooling. Clear or partly cloudy skies allow greater heat loss to space, potentially pushing the minimum toward 17–19°C, while increased humidity or lingering overcast conditions can limit cooling and support readings near 20–21°C. Incheon's coastal location adds maritime moderation from the Yellow Sea, reducing extremes compared to inland Seoul. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the latest ECMWF and GFS runs plus local observations; any shift in predicted wind speed, dew point, or frontal timing could quickly rebalance the 50% odds on the 19°C, 21°C, and adjacent bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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