Clear skies and light northerly winds under high pressure are positioning Incheon’s overnight low near 18–19°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures of 18°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late-September radiative cooling under dry conditions with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius. Recent forecast updates have remained stable with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to moderate the drop, keeping 20°C or warmer probabilities subdued while limiting downside risk below 17°C. Traders are watching the next model cycles and KMA evening briefings for any last adjustments to wind or humidity that could shift the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 21?
19°C 48%
18°C 27%
20°C 22%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
27%
19°C
48%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
4%
19°C 48%
18°C 27%
20°C 22%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
7%
18°C
27%
19°C
48%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light northerly winds under high pressure are positioning Incheon’s overnight low near 18–19°C on September 21, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. Official KMA guidance and ensemble model runs show minimum temperatures of 18°C, consistent with seasonal norms for late-September radiative cooling under dry conditions with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius. Recent forecast updates have remained stable with no incoming fronts or increased cloud cover expected to moderate the drop, keeping 20°C or warmer probabilities subdued while limiting downside risk below 17°C. Traders are watching the next model cycles and KMA evening briefings for any last adjustments to wind or humidity that could shift the exact minimum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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