The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 2026 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent continues to anchor market-implied odds for a similar outcome at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, elevated spare capacity, and contained core inflation have outweighed near-term upward pressure on headline inflation from higher oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Recent Survey of Expectations data show one-year-ahead CPI inflation rising modestly while medium-term pressures remain subdued, supporting trader consensus around an 86 percent probability of no change. The modest 11.5 percent implied odds of an increase reflect the RBNZ’s repeated emphasis on monitoring wage growth and inflation expectations before any tightening, while a cut stays remote at 0.1 percent given the inflation trajectory. Key upcoming catalysts include the full forecast update and labor-market data releases that could shift the assessed balance of risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วReserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?
No Change 86%
Increase 12%
Decrease <1%
$30,541 ปริมาณ
$30,541 ปริมาณ
May 27, 2026
Increase
12%
No Change
86%
Decrease
<1%
No Change 86%
Increase 12%
Decrease <1%
$30,541 ปริมาณ
$30,541 ปริมาณ
May 27, 2026
Increase
$10,210 ปริมาณ
12%
No Change
$9,809 ปริมาณ
86%
Decrease
$10,522 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 2026 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent continues to anchor market-implied odds for a similar outcome at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, elevated spare capacity, and contained core inflation have outweighed near-term upward pressure on headline inflation from higher oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Recent Survey of Expectations data show one-year-ahead CPI inflation rising modestly while medium-term pressures remain subdued, supporting trader consensus around an 86 percent probability of no change. The modest 11.5 percent implied odds of an increase reflect the RBNZ’s repeated emphasis on monitoring wage growth and inflation expectations before any tightening, while a cut stays remote at 0.1 percent given the inflation trajectory. Key upcoming catalysts include the full forecast update and labor-market data releases that could shift the assessed balance of risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,541วันสิ้นสุด
May 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 2026 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent continues to anchor market-implied odds for a similar outcome at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, elevated spare capacity, and contained core inflation have outweighed near-term upward pressure on headline inflation from higher oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Recent Survey of Expectations data show one-year-ahead CPI inflation rising modestly while medium-term pressures remain subdued, supporting trader consensus around an 86 percent probability of no change. The modest 11.5 percent implied odds of an increase reflect the RBNZ’s repeated emphasis on monitoring wage growth and inflation expectations before any tightening, while a cut stays remote at 0.1 percent given the inflation trajectory. Key upcoming catalysts include the full forecast update and labor-market data releases that could shift the assessed balance of risks.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,541วันสิ้นสุด
May 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s April 2026 decision to hold the official cash rate at 2.25 percent continues to anchor market-implied odds for a similar outcome at the May 27 Monetary Policy Statement. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, elevated spare capacity, and contained core inflation have outweighed near-term upward pressure on headline inflation from higher oil prices tied to Middle East developments. Recent Survey of Expectations data show one-year-ahead CPI inflation rising modestly while medium-term pressures remain subdued, supporting trader consensus around an 86 percent probability of no change. The modest 11.5 percent implied odds of an increase reflect the RBNZ’s repeated emphasis on monitoring wage growth and inflation expectations before any tightening, while a cut stays remote at 0.1 percent given the inflation trajectory. Key upcoming catalysts include the full forecast update and labor-market data releases that could shift the assessed balance of risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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