Recent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have elevated near-term UK CPI readings to 3.3 percent in March 2026, shifting trader focus toward higher inflation outcomes for the full year. Bank of England scenarios in its April Monetary Policy Report project CPI rising to around 3.5 percent by year-end under baseline assumptions of oil prices peaking near $108, with stronger second-round effects in downside cases pushing readings above 6 percent into 2027. This trajectory, combined with persistent services inflation near 4.5 percent and limited labor-market slack, underpins the market’s emphasis on the 3.5–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus bands as leading possibilities. Traders are pricing in these levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and the June Monetary Policy Committee decision, which could further clarify the path of monetary policy and inflation persistence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 28%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 21%
2.5–2.9% 6.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
4%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
6%
3.5–3.9%
21%
4.0-4.4%
28%
4.5%+
35%
4.0-4.4% 28%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 21%
2.5–2.9% 6.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$802 ปริมาณ
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 ปริมาณ
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 ปริมาณ
4%
2.0–2.4%
$305 ปริมาณ
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 ปริมาณ
6%
3.5–3.9%
$525 ปริมาณ
21%
4.0-4.4%
$420 ปริมาณ
28%
4.5%+
$1,080 ปริมาณ
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have elevated near-term UK CPI readings to 3.3 percent in March 2026, shifting trader focus toward higher inflation outcomes for the full year. Bank of England scenarios in its April Monetary Policy Report project CPI rising to around 3.5 percent by year-end under baseline assumptions of oil prices peaking near $108, with stronger second-round effects in downside cases pushing readings above 6 percent into 2027. This trajectory, combined with persistent services inflation near 4.5 percent and limited labor-market slack, underpins the market’s emphasis on the 3.5–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus bands as leading possibilities. Traders are pricing in these levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and the June Monetary Policy Committee decision, which could further clarify the path of monetary policy and inflation persistence.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,329วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have elevated near-term UK CPI readings to 3.3 percent in March 2026, shifting trader focus toward higher inflation outcomes for the full year. Bank of England scenarios in its April Monetary Policy Report project CPI rising to around 3.5 percent by year-end under baseline assumptions of oil prices peaking near $108, with stronger second-round effects in downside cases pushing readings above 6 percent into 2027. This trajectory, combined with persistent services inflation near 4.5 percent and limited labor-market slack, underpins the market’s emphasis on the 3.5–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus bands as leading possibilities. Traders are pricing in these levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and the June Monetary Policy Committee decision, which could further clarify the path of monetary policy and inflation persistence.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,329วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 20, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price surges tied to the Middle East conflict have elevated near-term UK CPI readings to 3.3 percent in March 2026, shifting trader focus toward higher inflation outcomes for the full year. Bank of England scenarios in its April Monetary Policy Report project CPI rising to around 3.5 percent by year-end under baseline assumptions of oil prices peaking near $108, with stronger second-round effects in downside cases pushing readings above 6 percent into 2027. This trajectory, combined with persistent services inflation near 4.5 percent and limited labor-market slack, underpins the market’s emphasis on the 3.5–4.4 percent and 4.5 percent-plus bands as leading possibilities. Traders are pricing in these levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and the June Monetary Policy Committee decision, which could further clarify the path of monetary policy and inflation persistence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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