Elevated Selic rates near 14.5–15%, the highest in nearly two decades, have tightened credit conditions and tempered domestic demand, positioning the 1.9%–2.2% year-over-year range as the market’s leading outcome at 52.4% implied probability. Resilient high-frequency indicators, including February’s 0.6% month-on-month IBC-Br rise, record March retail sales, and April manufacturing and services PMIs above 52, have supported moderate growth expectations despite the restrictive monetary stance. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus Survey at 1.7%–1.9% imply a contained Q1 print lifted by base effects from softer Q4 2025 activity, while oil-price volatility introduces downside risks. Traders are now focused on the IBGE release scheduled for late May, which will resolve the contract against these aggregated probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBrazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
1.9%–2.2% 53.4%
1.5%–1.8% 12%
2.3%–2.6% 8.8%
≥2.7% 4.7%
$20,737 ปริมาณ
$20,737 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
<0.7%
2%
0.7%–1.0%
2%
1.1%–1.4%
3%
1.5%–1.8%
27%
1.9%–2.2%
52%
2.3%–2.6%
18%
≥2.7%
16%
1.9%–2.2% 53.4%
1.5%–1.8% 12%
2.3%–2.6% 8.8%
≥2.7% 4.7%
$20,737 ปริมาณ
$20,737 ปริมาณ
May 29, 2026
<0.7%
$14,389 ปริมาณ
2%
0.7%–1.0%
$660 ปริมาณ
2%
1.1%–1.4%
$506 ปริมาณ
3%
1.5%–1.8%
$1,040 ปริมาณ
27%
1.9%–2.2%
$1,631 ปริมาณ
52%
2.3%–2.6%
$684 ปริมาณ
18%
≥2.7%
$1,827 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 14.5–15%, the highest in nearly two decades, have tightened credit conditions and tempered domestic demand, positioning the 1.9%–2.2% year-over-year range as the market’s leading outcome at 52.4% implied probability. Resilient high-frequency indicators, including February’s 0.6% month-on-month IBC-Br rise, record March retail sales, and April manufacturing and services PMIs above 52, have supported moderate growth expectations despite the restrictive monetary stance. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus Survey at 1.7%–1.9% imply a contained Q1 print lifted by base effects from softer Q4 2025 activity, while oil-price volatility introduces downside risks. Traders are now focused on the IBGE release scheduled for late May, which will resolve the contract against these aggregated probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,737วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlElevated Selic rates near 14.5–15%, the highest in nearly two decades, have tightened credit conditions and tempered domestic demand, positioning the 1.9%–2.2% year-over-year range as the market’s leading outcome at 52.4% implied probability. Resilient high-frequency indicators, including February’s 0.6% month-on-month IBC-Br rise, record March retail sales, and April manufacturing and services PMIs above 52, have supported moderate growth expectations despite the restrictive monetary stance. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus Survey at 1.7%–1.9% imply a contained Q1 print lifted by base effects from softer Q4 2025 activity, while oil-price volatility introduces downside risks. Traders are now focused on the IBGE release scheduled for late May, which will resolve the contract against these aggregated probabilities.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year (GDP at market prices, %) in the 1st quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for release on May 29, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the same quarter of the previous year. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the same quarter of the previous year to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,737วันสิ้นสุด
May 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 23, 2026, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated Selic rates near 14.5–15%, the highest in nearly two decades, have tightened credit conditions and tempered domestic demand, positioning the 1.9%–2.2% year-over-year range as the market’s leading outcome at 52.4% implied probability. Resilient high-frequency indicators, including February’s 0.6% month-on-month IBC-Br rise, record March retail sales, and April manufacturing and services PMIs above 52, have supported moderate growth expectations despite the restrictive monetary stance. Full-year consensus forecasts from the IMF and Central Bank Focus Survey at 1.7%–1.9% imply a contained Q1 print lifted by base effects from softer Q4 2025 activity, while oil-price volatility introduces downside risks. Traders are now focused on the IBGE release scheduled for late May, which will resolve the contract against these aggregated probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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