Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under President Trump feature recent May 2026 proposals for a preliminary memorandum ending Gulf hostilities, unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions, and imposing future curbs on Iranian uranium enrichment, with detailed talks to follow. Iran is reviewing the latest U.S. offer after multiple 2025–2026 rounds mediated by Oman, though sticking points persist over full enrichment limits and disposition of Iran's near-weapons-grade stockpile. These diplomatic steps, following earlier strikes and protests, underpin the 58% implied probability that traders assign to a completed nuclear agreement before 2027, reflecting measured progress amid unresolved verification and scope disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
$1,328,796 ปริมาณ
$1,328,796 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
$1,328,796 ปริมาณ
$1,328,796 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under President Trump feature recent May 2026 proposals for a preliminary memorandum ending Gulf hostilities, unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions, and imposing future curbs on Iranian uranium enrichment, with detailed talks to follow. Iran is reviewing the latest U.S. offer after multiple 2025–2026 rounds mediated by Oman, though sticking points persist over full enrichment limits and disposition of Iran's near-weapons-grade stockpile. These diplomatic steps, following earlier strikes and protests, underpin the 58% implied probability that traders assign to a completed nuclear agreement before 2027, reflecting measured progress amid unresolved verification and scope disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,328,796วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under President Trump feature recent May 2026 proposals for a preliminary memorandum ending Gulf hostilities, unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions, and imposing future curbs on Iranian uranium enrichment, with detailed talks to follow. Iran is reviewing the latest U.S. offer after multiple 2025–2026 rounds mediated by Oman, though sticking points persist over full enrichment limits and disposition of Iran's near-weapons-grade stockpile. These diplomatic steps, following earlier strikes and protests, underpin the 58% implied probability that traders assign to a completed nuclear agreement before 2027, reflecting measured progress amid unresolved verification and scope disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,328,796วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations under President Trump feature recent May 2026 proposals for a preliminary memorandum ending Gulf hostilities, unblocking the Strait of Hormuz, lifting sanctions, and imposing future curbs on Iranian uranium enrichment, with detailed talks to follow. Iran is reviewing the latest U.S. offer after multiple 2025–2026 rounds mediated by Oman, though sticking points persist over full enrichment limits and disposition of Iran's near-weapons-grade stockpile. These diplomatic steps, following earlier strikes and protests, underpin the 58% implied probability that traders assign to a completed nuclear agreement before 2027, reflecting measured progress amid unresolved verification and scope disputes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย