Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, 2026, follow his May 22 swearing-in after Senate confirmation. Traders focus on signals about his stated preference for strategic ambiguity in communications, including potentially shorter press conferences, reduced forward guidance, fewer official speeches, and adjustments to tools such as the dot plot or Summary of Economic Projections. Recent remarks from Warsh during confirmation hearings and broader Fed commentary on inflation, labor market conditions, and policy stance provide context, alongside President Trump’s public statements affirming independence for the new chair. The June press conference offers the earliest direct insight into any shifts in tone or framework under Warsh’s leadership.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
Jun 18, 2026
Inflation 40+ times
57%
Inflation 50+ times
48%
Inflation 60+ times
27%
Job 15+ times
50%
Jerome / Powell
77%
Trump
19%
Rate / Cut
89%
Money
18%
Good Afternoon
71%
Depression / Recession
39%
Chair
74%
FED
74%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
30%
Balance Sheet
61%
Dual Mandate
63%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
49%
I Don't Know
38%
Downside
32%
Trend
32%
Stable / Stability
68%
Job Market
58%
Maximum Employment
51%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
38%
Groupthink / Group Think
47%
Asymmetric
37%
$3,320 ปริมาณ
Inflation 40+ times
$30 ปริมาณ
57%
Inflation 50+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
Inflation 60+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
Job 15+ times
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
Jerome / Powell
$19 ปริมาณ
77%
Trump
$3,101 ปริมาณ
19%
Rate / Cut
$33 ปริมาณ
89%
Money
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
Good Afternoon
$34 ปริมาณ
71%
Depression / Recession
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
Chair
$5 ปริมาณ
74%
FED
$5 ปริมาณ
74%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$10 ปริมาณ
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$45 ปริมาณ
30%
Balance Sheet
$8 ปริมาณ
61%
Dual Mandate
$25 ปริมาณ
63%
Goods Inflation
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
Stock
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
I Don't Know
$30 ปริมาณ
38%
Downside
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
Trend
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
Stable / Stability
$6 ปริมาณ
68%
Job Market
$0 ปริมาณ
58%
Maximum Employment
$0 ปริมาณ
51%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$1 ปริมาณ
38%
Groupthink / Group Think
$1 ปริมาณ
47%
Asymmetric
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, 2026, follow his May 22 swearing-in after Senate confirmation. Traders focus on signals about his stated preference for strategic ambiguity in communications, including potentially shorter press conferences, reduced forward guidance, fewer official speeches, and adjustments to tools such as the dot plot or Summary of Economic Projections. Recent remarks from Warsh during confirmation hearings and broader Fed commentary on inflation, labor market conditions, and policy stance provide context, alongside President Trump’s public statements affirming independence for the new chair. The June press conference offers the earliest direct insight into any shifts in tone or framework under Warsh’s leadership.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,320วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, 2026, follow his May 22 swearing-in after Senate confirmation. Traders focus on signals about his stated preference for strategic ambiguity in communications, including potentially shorter press conferences, reduced forward guidance, fewer official speeches, and adjustments to tools such as the dot plot or Summary of Economic Projections. Recent remarks from Warsh during confirmation hearings and broader Fed commentary on inflation, labor market conditions, and policy stance provide context, alongside President Trump’s public statements affirming independence for the new chair. The June press conference offers the earliest direct insight into any shifts in tone or framework under Warsh’s leadership.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,320วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and press conference as Federal Reserve Chair on June 16-17, 2026, follow his May 22 swearing-in after Senate confirmation. Traders focus on signals about his stated preference for strategic ambiguity in communications, including potentially shorter press conferences, reduced forward guidance, fewer official speeches, and adjustments to tools such as the dot plot or Summary of Economic Projections. Recent remarks from Warsh during confirmation hearings and broader Fed commentary on inflation, labor market conditions, and policy stance provide context, alongside President Trump’s public statements affirming independence for the new chair. The June press conference offers the earliest direct insight into any shifts in tone or framework under Warsh’s leadership.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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