United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 61%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 29.8%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.4%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,230,053 ปริมาณ
$8,230,053 ปริมาณ
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
61%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
30%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
3%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 61%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 29.8%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.4%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 3.0%
$8,230,053 ปริมาณ
$8,230,053 ปริมาณ
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
61%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
30%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
3%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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