United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its control of administrative resources, the mixed electoral system allocating half the seats via single-member districts, and established regional structures. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, placement of war veterans and military figures high on party lists, and the June 2026 decree confirming the voting dates, reinforce this dominance. Among systemic opposition parties, New People has gained visibility in some 2026 polling as a potential second-place contender, though LDPR, CPRF, and others face organizational limits and selective pressure on non-systemic groups such as Yabloko. Trader consensus assigns United Russia the highest probability of securing the most seats, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 67%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 21.6%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 2.3%
$17,276,814 ปริมาณ
$17,276,814 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
67%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
22%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
2%
พรรค A
2%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 67%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 21.6%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 5.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 2.3%
$17,276,814 ปริมาณ
$17,276,814 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$6,341,865 ปริมาณ
67%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$1,871,004 ปริมาณ
22%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$3,056,556 ปริมาณ
5%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$1,182,698 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรค A
$122,239 ปริมาณ
2%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$1,228,766 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$2,205,023 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$1,268,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its control of administrative resources, the mixed electoral system allocating half the seats via single-member districts, and established regional structures. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, placement of war veterans and military figures high on party lists, and the June 2026 decree confirming the voting dates, reinforce this dominance. Among systemic opposition parties, New People has gained visibility in some 2026 polling as a potential second-place contender, though LDPR, CPRF, and others face organizational limits and selective pressure on non-systemic groups such as Yabloko. Trader consensus assigns United Russia the highest probability of securing the most seats, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter the balance.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,276,814วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its control of administrative resources, the mixed electoral system allocating half the seats via single-member districts, and established regional structures. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, placement of war veterans and military figures high on party lists, and the June 2026 decree confirming the voting dates, reinforce this dominance. Among systemic opposition parties, New People has gained visibility in some 2026 polling as a potential second-place contender, though LDPR, CPRF, and others face organizational limits and selective pressure on non-systemic groups such as Yabloko. Trader consensus assigns United Russia the highest probability of securing the most seats, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter the balance.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,276,814วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma elections due to its control of administrative resources, the mixed electoral system allocating half the seats via single-member districts, and established regional structures. Recent preparations, including leadership restructuring, placement of war veterans and military figures high on party lists, and the June 2026 decree confirming the voting dates, reinforce this dominance. Among systemic opposition parties, New People has gained visibility in some 2026 polling as a potential second-place contender, though LDPR, CPRF, and others face organizational limits and selective pressure on non-systemic groups such as Yabloko. Trader consensus assigns United Russia the highest probability of securing the most seats, reflecting these structural advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions that would alter the balance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
98%
ใช่
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
44%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
80%
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