Current meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 19°C today, driven by stable springtime atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover that suppress daytime warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds assigning 99.8% probability to that exact outcome, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical May climatology where temperatures typically range 18–22°C absent major warm advection. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection intensifies or official station readings at the Beijing site register slight measurement variance due to urban heat island effects, though such shifts appear unlikely given the narrow uncertainty range in latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Beijing on May 17?
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$133,428 Vol.
$133,428 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$133,428 Vol.
$133,428 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAACurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from official agencies indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 19°C today, driven by stable springtime atmospheric conditions with moderate northerly flow and limited cloud cover that suppress daytime warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds assigning 99.8% probability to that exact outcome, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble model consensus and historical May climatology where temperatures typically range 18–22°C absent major warm advection. Minor deviations remain possible if afternoon convection intensifies or official station readings at the Beijing site register slight measurement variance due to urban heat island effects, though such shifts appear unlikely given the narrow uncertainty range in latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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