Recent numerical weather prediction models from global centers point to a daily maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the 74% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May seasonal warming in central China, reinforced by a stable high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and promotes solar heating, underpins this forecast consensus. Historical climatological averages for the region show May highs typically ranging 26–28°C, offering a baseline against which current conditions align closely. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have exhibited little variation, though final resolution at the Tianhe International Airport station could shift slightly with any late-day observational adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 17?
28°C 72%
29°C 24%
30°C 5%
27°C 1.0%
$38,202 Vol.
$38,202 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
72%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 72%
29°C 24%
30°C 5%
27°C 1.0%
$38,202 Vol.
$38,202 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
72%
29°C
24%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHRecent numerical weather prediction models from global centers point to a daily maximum of 28°C in Wuhan on May 17, driving the 74% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May seasonal warming in central China, reinforced by a stable high-pressure ridge that limits cloud cover and promotes solar heating, underpins this forecast consensus. Historical climatological averages for the region show May highs typically ranging 26–28°C, offering a baseline against which current conditions align closely. Short-range model updates over the past 48 hours have exhibited little variation, though final resolution at the Tianhe International Airport station could shift slightly with any late-day observational adjustments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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