Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,468 Vol.
$66,468 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,468 Vol.
$66,468 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration have converged on a daily maximum of 31°C for Chengdu today, establishing this outcome as the sole market leader with near-certain implied odds. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is driving clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Lingering low-level moisture introduces minor model uncertainty, but current conditions and resolution criteria based on official station observations leave little room for deviation. Traders will monitor the final afternoon measurement window for any last adjustments to steering flow or unexpected convective development that could shift the peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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