Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 19?
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 22%
32°C 19%
30°C 18%
29°C 14%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
19%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration place Chengdu’s May 19 maximum temperature in a narrow 29–32 °C band, directly explaining why the market’s leading outcomes at 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C trade within a few percentage points of one another. A building subtropical ridge over the Sichuan Basin favors clear skies and enhanced daytime heating above seasonal norms, while lingering low-level moisture and variable cloud cover create modest forecast spread. Traders are weighting the latest model runs against May climatology, where typical highs average 27–29 °C, and will closely monitor the next cycle of guidance for any shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer mixing before the observation window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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