Latest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,488 Vol.
$66,488 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,488 Vol.
$66,488 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUULatest China Meteorological Administration numerical weather prediction ensembles have converged on a 31°C daily maximum for Chengdu on May 17, establishing this outcome as the market consensus at 100% implied probability. A strengthening subtropical ridge over the Sichuan basin is delivering clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and enhanced daytime heating that exceeds the late-May climatological average of 27–28°C. Low precipitation odds and minimal model spread reinforce trader confidence in this exact threshold. Resolution hinges on the official afternoon observation at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport; any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or unexpected cloud development remains the only realistic pathway that could shift the recorded high.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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