Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$260,564 Vol.
$260,564 Vol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
$260,564 Vol.
$260,564 Vol.
May 17, 2026
19°C or below
$3,029 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,037 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$2,261 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,657 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,693 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$38,047 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$102,706 Vol.
100%
26°C
$52,422 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$24,320 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12,445 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$16,399 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$260,564Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$260,564Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on May 17, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure system that promotes subsidence and a moist easterly flow enhancing cloud cover to limit surface heating. This consensus aligns with historical May climatology, where typical highs range from 26–31°C under similar synoptic patterns, and current model runs show minimal spread in expected peak temperatures. Traders have priced in the 25°C outcome at 99.9% implied probability because official guidance points to these conditions persisting through the afternoon peak, though a brief clearing of cloud cover or unexpected strengthening of insolation could push readings slightly higher before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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