India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 Vol.
$44,262 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.8%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,262 Vol.
$44,262 Vol.
May 17, 2026
41°C or below
$9,267 Vol.
100%
42°C
$3,228 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$4,330 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$5,366 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,133 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$2,804 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$6,569 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$6,610 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$908 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$44,262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,262Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndia Meteorological Department forecasts indicate a maximum temperature near 41°C for Lucknow on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies across the Ganges Plain. This outlook, consistent with recent observations of suppressed daytime heating from lingering moisture and isolated thunderstorm activity earlier in the month, underpins the market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 41°C or below. Historical mid-May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 40–42°C driven by strong solar insolation and low humidity, yet current model consensus favors the lower end of that range. The final official reading from the Lucknow observatory will resolve the market, with any last-minute IMD adjustments or unexpected strengthening of solar heating under drier air representing the primary scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes toward 42°C.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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