Current forecast models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a modest high near 16°C for Munich on May 17, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Mid-May climatology in Bavaria typically features daytime maxima of 16–18°C under transitional spring patterns, but today’s cooler Atlantic air mass and limited southerly flow have capped warming. Model runs show tight agreement on peak readings between 15°C and 17°C, with only minor spread tied to afternoon cloud cover and wind speed. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of uncertainty around these values, consistent with historical variability for the date and the absence of any strong warming signal in the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 62%
17°C 18%
15°C 12%
18°C <1%
$27,951 Vol.
$27,951 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
12%
16°C
62%
17°C
18%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 62%
17°C 18%
15°C 12%
18°C <1%
$27,951 Vol.
$27,951 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
12%
16°C
62%
17°C
18%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the German Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a modest high near 16°C for Munich on May 17, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on that outcome. Mid-May climatology in Bavaria typically features daytime maxima of 16–18°C under transitional spring patterns, but today’s cooler Atlantic air mass and limited southerly flow have capped warming. Model runs show tight agreement on peak readings between 15°C and 17°C, with only minor spread tied to afternoon cloud cover and wind speed. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window of uncertainty around these values, consistent with historical variability for the date and the absence of any strong warming signal in the latest guidance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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