Latest official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak surface temperature in Munich today near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow. This outcome leads market-implied odds because daytime radiative heating remains limited by broken cloud cover that reduces insolation, while mild Atlantic air advection prevents stronger warming. The tight clustering between 15 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon clearing or brief convective bursts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the daily maximum. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 17–18 °C, so today’s cooler profile stems from a transient trough that has suppressed the seasonal norm.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 39%
15°C 37%
17°C 19%
14°C 5.1%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
37%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 39%
15°C 37%
17°C 19%
14°C 5.1%
$17,223 Vol.
$17,223 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
5%
15°C
37%
16°C
39%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMLatest official guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a peak surface temperature in Munich today near 16 °C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly flow. This outcome leads market-implied odds because daytime radiative heating remains limited by broken cloud cover that reduces insolation, while mild Atlantic air advection prevents stronger warming. The tight clustering between 15 °C and 17 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact timing of any afternoon clearing or brief convective bursts that could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the daily maximum. Historical May climatology for the region shows typical highs of 17–18 °C, so today’s cooler profile stems from a transient trough that has suppressed the seasonal norm.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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