Recent Météo-France forecasts and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a lingering unstable spring pattern of extensive cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating that has kept readings below the seasonal 18°C climatological average. These conditions suppress afternoon warming and align closely with the market’s dominant 16°C outcome at 83.5% implied probability. Minor model spread allows for possible brief clearing that could nudge readings to 17°C, yet updated runs this morning continue to favor the mid-teens range. Official temperature observations at the end of the day will resolve the contract based on verified maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on May 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 17?
16°C 94%
17°C 7%
18°C 1.3%
19°C <1%
$108,121 Vol.
$108,121 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
94%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 94%
17°C 7%
18°C 1.3%
19°C <1%
$108,121 Vol.
$108,121 Vol.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,434 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$2,788 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$7,621 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$16,118 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15,145 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$16,936 Vol.
94%
17°C
$15,618 Vol.
7%
18°C
$13,383 Vol.
1%
19°C
$13,137 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$5,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France forecasts and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a lingering unstable spring pattern of extensive cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating that has kept readings below the seasonal 18°C climatological average. These conditions suppress afternoon warming and align closely with the market’s dominant 16°C outcome at 83.5% implied probability. Minor model spread allows for possible brief clearing that could nudge readings to 17°C, yet updated runs this morning continue to favor the mid-teens range. Official temperature observations at the end of the day will resolve the contract based on verified maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$108,121Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Météo-France forecasts and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a lingering unstable spring pattern of extensive cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating that has kept readings below the seasonal 18°C climatological average. These conditions suppress afternoon warming and align closely with the market’s dominant 16°C outcome at 83.5% implied probability. Minor model spread allows for possible brief clearing that could nudge readings to 17°C, yet updated runs this morning continue to favor the mid-teens range. Official temperature observations at the end of the day will resolve the contract based on verified maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$108,121Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Météo-France forecasts and European model consensus point to a daily maximum near 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a lingering unstable spring pattern of extensive cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating that has kept readings below the seasonal 18°C climatological average. These conditions suppress afternoon warming and align closely with the market’s dominant 16°C outcome at 83.5% implied probability. Minor model spread allows for possible brief clearing that could nudge readings to 17°C, yet updated runs this morning continue to favor the mid-teens range. Official temperature observations at the end of the day will resolve the contract based on verified maximum readings.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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