European weather model guidance from recent runs has converged on a Paris maximum of 15–17°C for May 18, placing the greatest market weight on the closely matched 15°C and 16°C outcomes. This narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak Atlantic front, variable cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily peak by a single degree. Météo-France climatology shows mid-May highs in Paris typically cluster between 15°C and 18°C, providing historical context for why traders see limited upside beyond 17°C under the current cool spring regime. Updated model ensembles and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range as surface observations refine the forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Paris on May 18?
16°C 41%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 8%
$22,023 Vol.
$22,023 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
35%
16°C
41%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 41%
15°C 35%
17°C 15%
14°C 8%
$22,023 Vol.
$22,023 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
35%
16°C
41%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
European weather model guidance from recent runs has converged on a Paris maximum of 15–17°C for May 18, placing the greatest market weight on the closely matched 15°C and 16°C outcomes. This narrow spread reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and strength of a weak Atlantic front, variable cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that can shift the daily peak by a single degree. Météo-France climatology shows mid-May highs in Paris typically cluster between 15°C and 18°C, providing historical context for why traders see limited upside beyond 17°C under the current cool spring regime. Updated model ensembles and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range as surface observations refine the forecast.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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