Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?
23°C 37%
22°C 34%
20°C 24%
21°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
24%
21°C
11%
22°C
34%
23°C
37%
24°C
6%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 37%
22°C 34%
20°C 24%
21°C 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 17, 2026
17°C or below
$89 Vol.
1%
18°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$162 Vol.
11%
22°C
$67 Vol.
34%
23°C
$612 Vol.
37%
24°C
$723 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$0 Vol.
2%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,334Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,334Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 17, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the GFS and regional analyses point to Shanghai's September 17 minimum temperature falling in the 22–23°C range, with trader consensus split between these outcomes due to subtle differences in predicted overnight radiative cooling and cloud cover. Light rain or overcast skies expected overnight, combined with easterly winds under 6 m/s and high humidity near 65–70%, should limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while dew points around 16–19°C support a floor near 22°C. Recent model runs show minor disagreements on exact cloud thickness and timing of any showers, creating the narrow 36.5%–33.5% edge between 23°C and 22°C. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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