The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
11%
58-62%
13%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
23%
74%+
13%
66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 13%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$294 Vol.
11%
58-62%
$53 Vol.
13%
62-66%
$48 Vol.
22%
66-70%
$90 Vol.
28%
70-74%
$39 Vol.
23%
74%+
$191 Vol.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$715Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$715Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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