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icon for Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?

icon for Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?

$642,864 Vol.

Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$642,864 Vol.

Polymarket

Steve Hilton

$40,672 Vol.

81%

Xavier Becerra

$13,942 Vol.

69%

Tom Steyer

$26,162 Vol.

40%

Matt Mahan

$19,296 Vol.

7%

Chad Bianco

$30,898 Vol.

6%

Kyle Langford

$11,536 Vol.

6%

Elaine Culotti

$282 Vol.

3%

David Thelen

$949 Vol.

3%

Jimmy Parker

$1,433 Vol.

3%

Katie Porter

$9,292 Vol.

2%

Ryan Tillman

$1,923 Vol.

2%

Betty Yee

$4,867 Vol.

2%

Carolina Buhler

$8,733 Vol.

2%

Tony Thurmond

$11,418 Vol.

2%

Javen Allen

$882 Vol.

2%

Leo Zacky

$6,232 Vol.

2%

Raji Rab

$7,425 Vol.

1%

Eric Swalwell

$72,069 Vol.

1%

Zoltan Istvan

$12,255 Vol.

1%

Ethan Agarwal

$3,102 Vol.

1%

Derek Grasty

$23,340 Vol.

1%

Nicki Minaj

$3,958 Vol.

1%

Brandon Jones

$41,720 Vol.

1%

Leonard Jackson

$3,821 Vol.

1%

Ian Calderon

$113,839 Vol.

1%

Butch Ware

$8,550 Vol.

1%

Sophia Brink

$37,863 Vol.

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$10,772 Vol.

1%

David Serpa

$4,924 Vol.

1%

Ramsey Robinson

$4,352 Vol.

1%

Nicholas Thompson

$7,072 Vol.

1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$12,386 Vol.

1%

Dylan Colbert

$14,906 Vol.

1%

Thunder Parley

$53,572 Vol.

1%

Sharifah Hardie

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ché Ahn

$18,423 Vol.

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including David Binder Research (May 5-11) showing Republican Steve Hilton at 23% and Democrat Xavier Becerra at 22%, alongside Emerson College (May 9-10) with Becerra at 19% over Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17%, drive trader consensus in the crowded California top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2. Incumbent Gavin Newsom's term limit opens the field, where Democratic vote-splitting—Katie Porter at 10-12%, Matt Mahan lower—enables Hilton's GOP consolidation, amplified by President Trump's endorsement and his May 5 debate showing. With ballots mailing imminently, low undecideds (6-12%) and early voting turnout among independents could tip the advancers to November's general election.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$642,864
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Recent polls, including David Binder Research (May 5-11) showing Republican Steve Hilton at 23% and Democrat Xavier Becerra at 22%, alongside Emerson College (May 9-10) with Becerra at 19% over Hilton and Tom Steyer at 17%, drive trader consensus in the crowded California top-two gubernatorial primary on June 2. Incumbent Gavin Newsom's term limit opens the field, where Democratic vote-splitting—Katie Porter at 10-12%, Matt Mahan lower—enables Hilton's GOP consolidation, amplified by President Trump's endorsement and his May 5 debate showing. With ballots mailing imminently, low undecideds (6-12%) and early voting turnout among independents could tip the advancers to November's general election.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$642,864
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 36 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Steve Hilton" sa 81%, sinusundan ng "Xavier Becerra" sa 69%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 81¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay naka-generate ng $642.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?," i-browse ang 36 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay "Steve Hilton" sa 81%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 81% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Xavier Becerra" sa 69%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Sino ang magsusulong mula sa primarya ng Gobernador ng California?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.