Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014, faces Democratic nominee Brad Smith in the November 2026 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district after Smith narrowly won the August 11 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles. Additional independent and Green Party candidates have filed but are unlikely to alter the outcome. These structural factors, combined with limited polling movement and the absence of major district-specific shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$28,322 Vol.
$28,322 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
15%
$28,322 Vol.
$28,322 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,170 Vol.
85%
Democratic Party
$13,153 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014, faces Democratic nominee Brad Smith in the November 2026 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district after Smith narrowly won the August 11 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles. Additional independent and Green Party candidates have filed but are unlikely to alter the outcome. These structural factors, combined with limited polling movement and the absence of major district-specific shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$28,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014, faces Democratic nominee Brad Smith in the November 2026 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district after Smith narrowly won the August 11 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles. Additional independent and Green Party candidates have filed but are unlikely to alter the outcome. These structural factors, combined with limited polling movement and the absence of major district-specific shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,322Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman, first elected in 2014, faces Democratic nominee Brad Smith in the November 2026 general election for Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district after Smith narrowly won the August 11 Democratic primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s R+8 partisan voting index and Grothman’s consistent reelection margins above 60 percent in prior cycles. Additional independent and Green Party candidates have filed but are unlikely to alter the outcome. These structural factors, combined with limited polling movement and the absence of major district-specific shifts since the primaries, underpin trader consensus around an 84 percent implied probability for the Republican nominee.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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