No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$29,217 Обс.
May 31, 2026
May 15
<1%
May 30
38%
$29,217 Обс.
May 15
$6,793 Обс.
<1%
May 30
$9,177 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,217Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Обсяг
$29,217Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquake has struck anywhere on Earth since the April 20 event off Japan’s Sanriku coast, according to the latest USGS catalog, leaving a roughly four-week quiet period that shapes trader focus on the timing of the next one. Globally these events average about 15–16 per year and cluster along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones, where tectonic plates converge and release stored strain through large slips on major faults. The USGS continuously monitors seismic networks and fault systems worldwide, but no reliable short-term precursors exist for magnitude 7+ quakes; activity can resume abruptly after lulls of weeks or months. With the year already recording five such events through mid-May and resolution thresholds tied to official magnitude and timing windows, any new USGS report of a qualifying event will immediately shift market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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