Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 17?
20°C 31%
19°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
6%
18°C
20%
19°C
29%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C
7%
23°C or higher
3%
20°C 31%
19°C 29%
21°C 22%
18°C 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
13°C or below
$115 Обс.
1%
14°C
$80 Обс.
1%
15°C
$130 Обс.
1%
16°C
$20 Обс.
3%
17°C
$41 Обс.
6%
18°C
$120 Обс.
20%
19°C
$100 Обс.
29%
20°C
$30 Обс.
31%
21°C
$170 Обс.
22%
22°C
$15 Обс.
7%
23°C or higher
$102 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$923Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$923Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACRecent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Ankara's highest temperature on May 17 around 22-23°C under a high-pressure ridge promoting sunny skies and moderate solar heating, driving trader consensus toward 23°C or higher at 47% implied probability. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where daily highs average 22°C amid seasonal warming trends, following recent observations of 24°C on May 12 and 22°C on May 14 that exceeded early-month norms. Uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloud cover or light northerly winds, which could cap peaks at 20-21°C as reflected in those outcomes' 20-22% shares. Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and fresh model runs expected May 16 may refine these probabilities ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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