Recent central bank analyst surveys have lifted the 2026 median inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, anchoring trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent band now priced at 30.2 percent. April’s 2.6 percent monthly print, the first deceleration in eleven months, eased the year-over-year rate to 32.4 percent and reinforced expectations for continued policy-driven disinflation under the current fiscal framework. Yet upside revisions from energy-price pressures and wage inertia keep the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges competitive at 24.0 percent and 16.2 percent, respectively. Traders are watching incoming monthly prints, regulated-price adjustments, and any shifts in monetary guidance for the next decisive move in market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 19.8%
20-24.9% 18.1%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
16%
40-44.9%
20%
45%+
8%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 19.8%
20-24.9% 18.1%
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
25%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
16%
40-44.9%
20%
45%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank analyst surveys have lifted the 2026 median inflation forecast to 30.5 percent, anchoring trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent band now priced at 30.2 percent. April’s 2.6 percent monthly print, the first deceleration in eleven months, eased the year-over-year rate to 32.4 percent and reinforced expectations for continued policy-driven disinflation under the current fiscal framework. Yet upside revisions from energy-price pressures and wage inertia keep the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges competitive at 24.0 percent and 16.2 percent, respectively. Traders are watching incoming monthly prints, regulated-price adjustments, and any shifts in monetary guidance for the next decisive move in market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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