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Politics·Primaries

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jay Feely 84%

Joseph Chaplik 16.4%

John Trobough <1%

Matt Gress <1%

Polymarket

$431,852 Обс.

Jay Feely 84%

Joseph Chaplik 16.4%

John Trobough <1%

Matt Gress <1%

Polymarket

$431,852 Обс.

Jay Feely

$10,580 Обс.

84%

Joseph Chaplik

$11,792 Обс.

16%

John Trobough

$4,115 Обс.

1%

Matt Gress

$49,162 Обс.

<1%

Todd Graham

$8,250 Обс.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$224,037 Обс.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$5,354 Обс.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,815 Обс.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$12,048 Обс.

<1%

Derrick Gallego

$4,176 Обс.

<1%

Jason Duey

$3,656 Обс.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$11,168 Обс.

<1%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$5,758 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with strong trader support, reflecting his Trump endorsement, highest fundraising totals among declared candidates, and name recognition as a former NFL player and broadcaster. John Trobough trails as the next most viable option, drawing on his business background and prior White House service while emphasizing policy-focused messaging in recent debates. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative, and lower-polling entrants such as Gina Swoboda and Paul Reevs face narrower paths amid a crowded field for the open seat previously held by David Schweikert. Recent May 2026 candidate forums and campaign finance reports have reinforced Feely’s positioning, though limited public polling leaves room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$431,852
Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely leads the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona’s 1st Congressional District with strong trader support, reflecting his Trump endorsement, highest fundraising totals among declared candidates, and name recognition as a former NFL player and broadcaster. John Trobough trails as the next most viable option, drawing on his business background and prior White House service while emphasizing policy-focused messaging in recent debates. Joseph Chaplik, a former state representative, and lower-polling entrants such as Gina Swoboda and Paul Reevs face narrower paths amid a crowded field for the open seat previously held by David Schweikert. Recent May 2026 candidate forums and campaign finance reports have reinforced Feely’s positioning, though limited public polling leaves room for late shifts before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$431,852
Дата завершення
Jul 21, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 14 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jay Feely» з 84%, далі «Joseph Chaplik» з 16%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $431.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 14 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jay Feely» з 84%. Наступний — «Joseph Chaplik» з 16%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.