Skip to main content
icon for Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

icon for Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Jun 25

Aug 6

Jun 25

Aug 6

No change 92.8%

Decrease 5.8%

Increase 3.4%

Polymarket

$10,987 Обс.

No change 92.8%

Decrease 5.8%

Increase 3.4%

Polymarket

$10,987 Обс.

Decrease

$649 Обс.

6%

No change

$9,185 Обс.

93%

Increase

$1,153 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico's May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%—its lowest since 2022—has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting, with the no-change outcome commanding a 92.5% implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation easing to 4.45% and core to 4.26% in April, alongside a Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack and tempered demand pressures, allowing Banxico to signal the end of its two-year easing cycle amid persistent geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Market-implied odds reflect this data-dependent pause, as the central bank now anticipates inflation converging to its 3% target only in mid-2027. A stronger-than-expected rebound in non-core prices or faster domestic growth could still prompt reconsideration, though current momentum favors stability.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Обсяг
$10,987
Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico's May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%—its lowest since 2022—has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the June 25 meeting, with the no-change outcome commanding a 92.5% implied probability. Recent data show headline inflation easing to 4.45% and core to 4.26% in April, alongside a Q1 2026 economic contraction that widened output slack and tempered demand pressures, allowing Banxico to signal the end of its two-year easing cycle amid persistent geopolitical and trade uncertainties. Market-implied odds reflect this data-dependent pause, as the central bank now anticipates inflation converging to its 3% target only in mid-2027. A stronger-than-expected rebound in non-core prices or faster domestic growth could still prompt reconsideration, though current momentum favors stability.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Обсяг
$10,987
Дата завершення
Jun 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Bank of Mexico Decision in June» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «No change» з 93%, далі «Decrease» з 6%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Bank of Mexico Decision in June» згенерував $11K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 27, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Bank of Mexico Decision in June», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Bank of Mexico Decision in June» — «No change» з 93%. Наступний — «Decrease» з 6%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Bank of Mexico Decision in June» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.