Recent polls show a tightening race ahead of Berlin's September 20 state election, with the incumbent CDU slipping to around 19 percent while the Greens, Left Party, and AfD each register 18 percent. This shift stems from dissatisfaction with the CDU-led senate's handling of infrastructure disruptions, including a major December power outage, eroding the party's earlier advantage in a fragmented field. Traders assign the CDU the highest probability of finishing first, consistent with its role in the current black-red coalition and historical patterns in Berlin's multi-party contests, though the close polling leaves substantial room for the Greens or others to overtake. The SPD trails further at 14 percent, limiting its path to plurality.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець виборів у штаті Берлін
Переможець виборів у штаті Берлін
СДП 36%
Зелені 23.3%
АдН 19.5%
Ліві 20%
$2,628,494 Обс.
$2,628,494 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
СДП
36%
Зелені
23%
АдН
20%
Ліві
20%
СДПН
6%
BSW
<1%
ВДП
<1%
FW
<1%
СДП 36%
Зелені 23.3%
АдН 19.5%
Ліві 20%
$2,628,494 Обс.
$2,628,494 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
СДП
$19,603 Обс.
36%
Зелені
$52,482 Обс.
23%
АдН
$2,196,377 Обс.
20%
Ліві
$16,514 Обс.
20%
СДПН
$292,784 Обс.
6%
BSW
$28,682 Обс.
<1%
ВДП
$12,725 Обс.
<1%
FW
$9,326 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tightening race ahead of Berlin's September 20 state election, with the incumbent CDU slipping to around 19 percent while the Greens, Left Party, and AfD each register 18 percent. This shift stems from dissatisfaction with the CDU-led senate's handling of infrastructure disruptions, including a major December power outage, eroding the party's earlier advantage in a fragmented field. Traders assign the CDU the highest probability of finishing first, consistent with its role in the current black-red coalition and historical patterns in Berlin's multi-party contests, though the close polling leaves substantial room for the Greens or others to overtake. The SPD trails further at 14 percent, limiting its path to plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ринок відкрито: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,628,494Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a tightening race ahead of Berlin's September 20 state election, with the incumbent CDU slipping to around 19 percent while the Greens, Left Party, and AfD each register 18 percent. This shift stems from dissatisfaction with the CDU-led senate's handling of infrastructure disruptions, including a major December power outage, eroding the party's earlier advantage in a fragmented field. Traders assign the CDU the highest probability of finishing first, consistent with its role in the current black-red coalition and historical patterns in Berlin's multi-party contests, though the close polling leaves substantial room for the Greens or others to overtake. The SPD trails further at 14 percent, limiting its path to plurality.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Обсяг
$2,628,494Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show a tightening race ahead of Berlin's September 20 state election, with the incumbent CDU slipping to around 19 percent while the Greens, Left Party, and AfD each register 18 percent. This shift stems from dissatisfaction with the CDU-led senate's handling of infrastructure disruptions, including a major December power outage, eroding the party's earlier advantage in a fragmented field. Traders assign the CDU the highest probability of finishing first, consistent with its role in the current black-red coalition and historical patterns in Berlin's multi-party contests, though the close polling leaves substantial room for the Greens or others to overtake. The SPD trails further at 14 percent, limiting its path to plurality.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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