Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 17%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.0%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Обс.
$90,132 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
17%
Iván Cepeda Castro
12%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 17%
Iván Cepeda Castro 12.0%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Обс.
$90,132 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
$9,545 Обс.
71%
Paloma Valencia
$13,316 Обс.
17%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$9,665 Обс.
12%
Claudia López
$5,017 Обс.
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$4,707 Обс.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$4,254 Обс.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$4,093 Обс.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$3,492 Обс.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$4,904 Обс.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$3,584 Обс.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$3,550 Обс.
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$4,471 Обс.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$3,585 Обс.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$4,127 Обс.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$4,086 Обс.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$4,205 Обс.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$3,532 Обс.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$90,132Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Обсяг
$90,132Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places leftist senator Iván Cepeda ahead for Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, yet Abelardo de la Espriella has consolidated support among right-leaning voters disillusioned with incumbent policies on security and governance. Espriella’s outsider campaign, modeled on hard-line approaches to crime, has narrowed the gap with center-right rival Paloma Valencia, who strengthened her position after a decisive primary win in March but now splits the anti-Petro vote. Ongoing campaign violence and debates over peace negotiations versus military crackdowns have further sharpened divisions, positioning Espriella as the clearest challenger for second place in the fragmented field ahead of a potential June runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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