Recent legislative momentum in Congress has propelled the implied probability for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 before its April 2026 expiration to 97.4 percent. The House passed a reauthorization measure with amendments addressing surveillance reforms, while Senate leadership has signaled swift consideration to avoid a lapse in foreign intelligence authorities. Bipartisan backing from intelligence committees, combined with endorsements from national security officials emphasizing ongoing threats, has solidified trader consensus around timely passage. Although the outcome appears highly certain, narrow procedural hurdles such as a Senate filibuster, last-minute amendments, or an unexpected presidential veto could still shift the timeline if they emerge in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$40,975 Обс.
$40,975 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
$40,975 Обс.
$40,975 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent legislative momentum in Congress has propelled the implied probability for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 before its April 2026 expiration to 97.4 percent. The House passed a reauthorization measure with amendments addressing surveillance reforms, while Senate leadership has signaled swift consideration to avoid a lapse in foreign intelligence authorities. Bipartisan backing from intelligence committees, combined with endorsements from national security officials emphasizing ongoing threats, has solidified trader consensus around timely passage. Although the outcome appears highly certain, narrow procedural hurdles such as a Senate filibuster, last-minute amendments, or an unexpected presidential veto could still shift the timeline if they emerge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,975Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent legislative momentum in Congress has propelled the implied probability for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 before its April 2026 expiration to 97.4 percent. The House passed a reauthorization measure with amendments addressing surveillance reforms, while Senate leadership has signaled swift consideration to avoid a lapse in foreign intelligence authorities. Bipartisan backing from intelligence committees, combined with endorsements from national security officials emphasizing ongoing threats, has solidified trader consensus around timely passage. Although the outcome appears highly certain, narrow procedural hurdles such as a Senate filibuster, last-minute amendments, or an unexpected presidential veto could still shift the timeline if they emerge in the final weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$40,975Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 3:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent legislative momentum in Congress has propelled the implied probability for reauthorizing FISA Section 702 before its April 2026 expiration to 97.4 percent. The House passed a reauthorization measure with amendments addressing surveillance reforms, while Senate leadership has signaled swift consideration to avoid a lapse in foreign intelligence authorities. Bipartisan backing from intelligence committees, combined with endorsements from national security officials emphasizing ongoing threats, has solidified trader consensus around timely passage. Although the outcome appears highly certain, narrow procedural hurdles such as a Senate filibuster, last-minute amendments, or an unexpected presidential veto could still shift the timeline if they emerge in the final weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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