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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Noel Thomas 44%

Seán Kyne 32.4%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.1%

Mike Cubbard 9.4%

Polymarket

$45,729 Обс.

Noel Thomas 44%

Seán Kyne 32.4%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich 10.1%

Mike Cubbard 9.4%

Polymarket

$45,729 Обс.

Sheila Garrity

$20,246 Обс.

1%

Seán Kyne

$3,514 Обс.

32%

Niall Murphy

$1,833 Обс.

<1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$1,646 Обс.

10%

Orla Nugent

$1,641 Обс.

<1%

Helen Ogbu

$3,887 Обс.

8%

Denman Rooke

$1,612 Обс.

1%

Noel Thomas

$5,031 Обс.

44%

Thomas Welby

$1,697 Обс.

<1%

Mike Cubbard

$2,113 Обс.

9%

Mark Lohan

$2,509 Обс.

4%

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas leads the Galway West by-election market because traders see Independent Ireland's local organization and anti-establishment appeal gaining ground among rural and independent voters in a fragmented field. Recent campaigning has focused on cost-of-living pressures, housing shortages, and migration, where Thomas has positioned himself alongside fuel-price protesters, while Seán Kyne, the Fine Gael senator and former TD, emphasizes government experience and second-preference flows. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences, yet the betting consensus reflects expectations that transfers from eliminated independents and smaller parties will favor Thomas in the single-seat contest. Labour's Helen Ogbu and the Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich remain competitive for left-leaning votes, but the wide candidate list increases uncertainty around final tallies when polls close on May 22.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Обсяг
$45,729
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Noel Thomas leads the Galway West by-election market because traders see Independent Ireland's local organization and anti-establishment appeal gaining ground among rural and independent voters in a fragmented field. Recent campaigning has focused on cost-of-living pressures, housing shortages, and migration, where Thomas has positioned himself alongside fuel-price protesters, while Seán Kyne, the Fine Gael senator and former TD, emphasizes government experience and second-preference flows. An early-May Irish Times/TG4 poll showed Kyne narrowly ahead on first preferences, yet the betting consensus reflects expectations that transfers from eliminated independents and smaller parties will favor Thomas in the single-seat contest. Labour's Helen Ogbu and the Social Democrats' Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich remain competitive for left-leaning votes, but the wide candidate list increases uncertainty around final tallies when polls close on May 22.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Обсяг
$45,729
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Noel Thomas» з 44%, далі «Seán Kyne» з 32%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» згенерував $45.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Galway-West By-Election Winner?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — «Noel Thomas» з 44%. Наступний — «Seán Kyne» з 32%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.