Current Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 28–30°C in Busan on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that promotes modest warming over the coastal region. This positions the market-implied odds tightly around 29°C and 30°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance from global ensembles and KMA updates. Factors such as the exact timing of the afternoon peak, minor shifts in wind patterns, or adjustments to the thermal boundary layer can tip the final observed maximum between these values. Historical May climatology for Busan shows similar variability, with traders weighing the latest observational data ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Busan on May 18?
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
$16,271 Обс.
$16,271 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
6%
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 15%
31°C 12%
$16,271 Обс.
$16,271 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
15%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKCurrent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime high of 28–30°C in Busan on May 18, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge and southerly flow that promotes modest warming over the coastal region. This positions the market-implied odds tightly around 29°C and 30°C as the leading outcomes, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range model guidance from global ensembles and KMA updates. Factors such as the exact timing of the afternoon peak, minor shifts in wind patterns, or adjustments to the thermal boundary layer can tip the final observed maximum between these values. Historical May climatology for Busan shows similar variability, with traders weighing the latest observational data ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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