National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 75–80°F under mostly sunny conditions, with lake-effect moderation keeping readings cooler near the shoreline while inland areas reach the low 80s. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with the historical average high of 81°F and recent stable high-pressure patterns limiting heat buildup. Trader positioning around the 82–83°F bin at 55% implied probability reflects expectations of modest upward forecast revisions or measurement at official stations, while lower bins capture downside risks from stronger lake breezes. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will provide key updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
55%
84-85°F
23%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 55%
84-85°F 23%
80-81°F 17%
86-87°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 28, 2026
75°F or below
$80 Обс.
1%
76-77°F
$11 Обс.
2%
78-79°F
$61 Обс.
4%
80-81°F
$340 Обс.
17%
82-83°F
$490 Обс.
55%
84-85°F
$302 Обс.
23%
86-87°F
$191 Обс.
6%
88-89°F
$11 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$88 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$269 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$269 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 75–80°F under mostly sunny conditions, with lake-effect moderation keeping readings cooler near the shoreline while inland areas reach the low 80s. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with the historical average high of 81°F and recent stable high-pressure patterns limiting heat buildup. Trader positioning around the 82–83°F bin at 55% implied probability reflects expectations of modest upward forecast revisions or measurement at official stations, while lower bins capture downside risks from stronger lake breezes. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will provide key updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,113Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 75–80°F under mostly sunny conditions, with lake-effect moderation keeping readings cooler near the shoreline while inland areas reach the low 80s. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with the historical average high of 81°F and recent stable high-pressure patterns limiting heat buildup. Trader positioning around the 82–83°F bin at 55% implied probability reflects expectations of modest upward forecast revisions or measurement at official stations, while lower bins capture downside risks from stronger lake breezes. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will provide key updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,113Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and regional forecasts for Chicago on August 28 indicate a high near 75–80°F under mostly sunny conditions, with lake-effect moderation keeping readings cooler near the shoreline while inland areas reach the low 80s. Model consensus supports this range, consistent with the historical average high of 81°F and recent stable high-pressure patterns limiting heat buildup. Trader positioning around the 82–83°F bin at 55% implied probability reflects expectations of modest upward forecast revisions or measurement at official stations, while lower bins capture downside risks from stronger lake breezes. Upcoming model runs and afternoon observations will provide key updates before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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