Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on May 17?
86°F or higher 87.7%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,985 Обс.
$16,985 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
86°F or higher 87.7%
84-85°F 12%
82-83°F <1%
67°F or below <1%
$16,985 Обс.
$16,985 Обс.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
12%
86°F or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUCurrent forecasts from NOAA and regional models indicate Houston will reach daytime highs near or above 86°F today, driven by southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This aligns with May climatology at Hobby Airport, where the long-term average high is 86°F and recent days have trended similarly without strong frontal intrusions or northerly cooling. The 87.5% market-implied probability for 86°F or higher reflects trader consensus on these stable conditions, though afternoon convective activity could introduce minor variability before official resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання