Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around 21 °C and 22 °C because subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and southerly flow over the Marmara Sea can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Local urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at official stations introduce additional variability that keeps probabilities for 20 °C and 23 °C or higher nearly tied. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
12%
21°C
33%
22°C
26%
23°C or higher
14%
21°C 33%
22°C 26%
23°C or higher 13.5%
20°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$446 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$774 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,119 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$795 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,699 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,103 Обс.
2%
19°C
$764 Обс.
4%
20°C
$405 Обс.
12%
21°C
$443 Обс.
33%
22°C
$307 Обс.
26%
23°C or higher
$706 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around 21 °C and 22 °C because subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and southerly flow over the Marmara Sea can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Local urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at official stations introduce additional variability that keeps probabilities for 20 °C and 23 °C or higher nearly tied. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,541Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around 21 °C and 22 °C because subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and southerly flow over the Marmara Sea can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Local urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at official stations introduce additional variability that keeps probabilities for 20 °C and 23 °C or higher nearly tied. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$8,541Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daytime maximum of 21–23 °C for Istanbul on May 18, consistent with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22 °C reported by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Trader sentiment clusters around 21 °C and 22 °C because subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture, cloud cover, and southerly flow over the Marmara Sea can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Local urban heat-island effects and measurement timing at official stations introduce additional variability that keeps probabilities for 20 °C and 23 °C or higher nearly tied. Updated model runs and surface observations expected overnight will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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