Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will likely see a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly wind flow off the Anatolian plateau, and boundary-layer mixing currently separate the leading 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while a modest chance of warmer advection keeps the 23 °C or higher bin in play. Traders are weighting these near-term model updates and historical variability around the seasonal baseline as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on May 18?
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 16%
23°C or higher 13.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
16%
21°C
33%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
13%
21°C 33%
22°C 31%
20°C 16%
23°C or higher 13.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 18, 2026
13°C or below
$589 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$829 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$1,124 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$800 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$1,704 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,212 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$973 Обс.
5%
20°C
$442 Обс.
16%
21°C
$510 Обс.
33%
22°C
$404 Обс.
31%
23°C or higher
$1,374 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will likely see a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly wind flow off the Anatolian plateau, and boundary-layer mixing currently separate the leading 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while a modest chance of warmer advection keeps the 23 °C or higher bin in play. Traders are weighting these near-term model updates and historical variability around the seasonal baseline as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,961Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will likely see a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly wind flow off the Anatolian plateau, and boundary-layer mixing currently separate the leading 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while a modest chance of warmer advection keeps the 23 °C or higher bin in play. Traders are weighting these near-term model updates and historical variability around the seasonal baseline as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,961Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System indicate Istanbul will likely see a daytime maximum near 21–22 °C on May 18, aligning closely with the mid-May climatological average of 20–22 °C tracked by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Subtle differences in model guidance on cloud cover, southerly wind flow off the Anatolian plateau, and boundary-layer mixing currently separate the leading 21 °C and 22 °C outcomes, while a modest chance of warmer advection keeps the 23 °C or higher bin in play. Traders are weighting these near-term model updates and historical variability around the seasonal baseline as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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