Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,383 Обс.
$158,383 Обс.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
19°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,383 Обс.
$158,383 Обс.
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,915 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$8,287 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$12,717 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$13,308 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$19,210 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$26,720 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$30,257 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$19,146 Обс.
100%
19°C
$19,232 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$158,383Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$158,383Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C across London under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market's overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England places typical highs near 16–18°C, and the tight model agreement leaves minimal room for deviation from observed trends. Minor late-afternoon clearing or subtle warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet current consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher under 1%. Official Met Office verification of hourly data will finalize the market once all observations are confirmed.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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