Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on May 18?
Highest temperature in London on May 18?
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
НОВЕ
$49,899 Обс.
НОВЕ
$49,899 Обс.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
26%
15°C
47%
16°C
22%
17°C
5%
18°C or higher
1%
15°C 47%
14°C 26%
16°C 22%
13°C 5.2%
НОВЕ
$49,899 Обс.
НОВЕ
$49,899 Обс.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$1,891 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$6,300 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$1,833 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$1,698 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$4,533 Обс.
1%
13°C
$5,669 Обс.
5%
14°C
$4,656 Обс.
26%
15°C
$4,646 Обс.
47%
16°C
$5,994 Обс.
22%
17°C
$5,051 Обс.
5%
18°C or higher
$7,628 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,899Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$49,899Дата завершення
May 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCEnsemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently center London’s maximum temperature for May 18 near 14–16 °C, positioning 15 °C as the leading market-implied outcome amid an unsettled Atlantic low-pressure system tracking across the UK. This setup favors cooler-than-average conditions, with the seasonal climatological mean for mid-May around 16–17 °C at London City Airport, reflecting a modest negative anomaly driven by increased cloud cover and northerly flow. Model runs show limited spread, though small shifts in the low’s track or timing could push the high toward 16 °C or keep it at 14 °C by late afternoon. Traders are weighting the consensus heavily given the short time to resolution and the reliability of these dynamical models for single-day temperature extremes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання