Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 16 position a daily high near 26°C as the consensus outcome, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring that bin at over 50%. The city's high elevation and ongoing rainy season typically cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, with August climatology showing average highs of 24–25°C and rare excursions above 27°C. Model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com currently projects 24–27°C ranges depending on timing of precipitation, creating the narrow distribution around 25–27°C while suppressing probabilities for extremes below 24°C or at 28°C and higher. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings from local meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 16?
26°C 59%
27°C 22%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
59%
27°C
22%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
27°C 22%
25°C 15%
24°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$537 Обс.
1%
24°C
$249 Обс.
3%
25°C
$604 Обс.
15%
26°C
$523 Обс.
59%
27°C
$273 Обс.
22%
28°C
$248 Обс.
2%
29°C
$69 Обс.
1%
30°C
$78 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$124 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 16 position a daily high near 26°C as the consensus outcome, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring that bin at over 50%. The city's high elevation and ongoing rainy season typically cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, with August climatology showing average highs of 24–25°C and rare excursions above 27°C. Model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com currently projects 24–27°C ranges depending on timing of precipitation, creating the narrow distribution around 25–27°C while suppressing probabilities for extremes below 24°C or at 28°C and higher. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,744Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 16 position a daily high near 26°C as the consensus outcome, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring that bin at over 50%. The city's high elevation and ongoing rainy season typically cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, with August climatology showing average highs of 24–25°C and rare excursions above 27°C. Model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com currently projects 24–27°C ranges depending on timing of precipitation, creating the narrow distribution around 25–27°C while suppressing probabilities for extremes below 24°C or at 28°C and higher. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings from local meteorological stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,744Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 16 position a daily high near 26°C as the consensus outcome, aligning with trader-implied odds favoring that bin at over 50%. The city's high elevation and ongoing rainy season typically cap afternoon temperatures through cloud cover, humidity, and scattered showers, with August climatology showing average highs of 24–25°C and rare excursions above 27°C. Model guidance from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com currently projects 24–27°C ranges depending on timing of precipitation, creating the narrow distribution around 25–27°C while suppressing probabilities for extremes below 24°C or at 28°C and higher. Official resolution will rely on verified maximum readings from local meteorological stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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