Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Miami on May 18?
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
$17,016 Обс.
$17,016 Обс.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 45%
88-89°F 32%
84-85°F 15%
90-91°F 6%
$17,016 Обс.
$17,016 Обс.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
45%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIARecent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus position a daytime high of 86–87°F as the most probable outcome for Miami on May 18, supported by early-season subtropical ridging and light southerly flow ahead of a weak frontal boundary. These conditions favor modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling, aligning with historical May averages near 85°F at Miami International Airport. Traders have priced in a modest chance of 88–89°F if ridging strengthens slightly, while lower bins reflect limited downside risk from any overnight marine influence. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final guidance ahead of resolution, with typical forecast uncertainty of ±2°F in subtropical spring regimes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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