Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 17?
16°C 68%
15°C 22%
17°C 5.5%
18°C <1%
$29,660 Обс.
$29,660 Обс.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
22%
16°C
68%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 68%
15°C 22%
17°C 5.5%
18°C <1%
$29,660 Обс.
$29,660 Обс.
May 17, 2026
11°C or below
$562 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$1,366 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$2,733 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$3,089 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$5,949 Обс.
22%
16°C
$3,322 Обс.
68%
17°C
$3,742 Обс.
5%
18°C
$3,066 Обс.
1%
19°C
$2,445 Обс.
1%
20°C
$1,570 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$2,570 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$29,660Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMCurrent forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst and ECMWF ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 16°C at Munich Airport, driven by moderate high pressure, light northerly flow, and partial cloud cover that restricts daytime solar heating while maintaining temperatures above seasonal lows. Afternoon peaks are projected between 15°C and 17°C, with the precise outcome hinging on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing efficiency. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 16°C and 15°C over higher or lower thresholds. Historical May averages near 17–18°C provide context, yet today's stable synoptic pattern supports the current trader consensus amid minimal model spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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